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1st Quarter 2024 Economic And Market Outlook: Potential Increased Volatility, Threats To Economic Growth, And Equity Markets

Nerd's Eye View

Notably, the work-from-home movement has resulted in a dramatic drop in office valuations that could lead to a whole host of issues, including lending constraints in the banking sector, which is already sitting on a mountain of unrealized losses on Treasuries and mortgages.

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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

In my third post at the start of 2023, I looked at US treasuries, the long-touted haven of safety for investors. In 2022, they were in the eye on the storm, with the ten-year US treasury bond depreciating in price by more than 19% during the year, the worst year for US treasury returns in a century.

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Return on Equity, Earnings Yield and Market Efficiency: Back to Basics!

Musings on Markets

The first was the response that I received to my last data update , where I looked at the profitability of businesses, and specifically at how a comparison of accounting returns on equity (capital) to costs of equity (capital) can yield a measure of excess returns.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporate finance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. For an investment to be risk free then, it has to meet two conditions.

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Transcript: Kenneth Tropin

Barry Ritholtz

RITHOLTZ: And those were Treasuries. And so, you know, it was relatively, I wouldn’t say straightforward because I don’t think generating consistent profits has ever been something that’s so straightforward or so easy. RITHOLTZ: Like, very different universe, right? TROPIN: Right. TROPIN: Yeah. No, no, no.

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The Sharing Economy come home: The IPO of Airbnb!

Musings on Markets

Setting the Table As with any valuation, the first step in valuing Airbnb is trying to understand its history and its business model, including how it has navigated the economic consequences of the COVID. In addition, growth in the experiences business will also push this metric upwards, since Airbnb keeps a 20% share of those revenues.

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At the Money: Why Stocks Are Your Best Bet for the Long Run

Barry Ritholtz

If revenue goes up, if profits go up, stock prices are going to go up. The, the longest period we had in our data was 17 years of losses of purchasing power, so after inflation, purchasing power. How should investors think about equities when valuations are a little elevated? for inflation. Barry Ritholtz : Right?