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Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. We evolved in an arithmetic world, so we are unprepared for the exponential math of finance. Investing is simple but hard, and therein lies our challenge. Bad Numbers : 4.
Call it ” ‘ America’s Enormous Math Mistake’s Mistake. For the record, Census published its first study on the valuation of so-called “in-kind transfer benefits” in 1982. Since 2008, the Census Bureau has included government transfers in its Supplemental Poverty Measure. ” Was this ignorance?
Nvidia market share: In my valuation, I assumed that Nvidia's lead in the AI chip business would give the company a head start, as the business grew, and to the extent that demand is sticky (i.e., The AI Story, after DeepSeek I teach valuation, and have done so for close to forty years.
Rising interest rates can hit their valuation. At TreasuryDirect.gov , where TIPS may be purchased at monthly auctions with funds from a linked bank account, the securities’ updated value after auction can only be measured with a one-by-one data search for each note or bond and some challenging math. Eric Jacobson. How are TIPS priced?
trillion, the trustee hired to find the missing loot has concluded two things: that the $500 million valuation of the missing bitcoin is accurate, and that he’s been able to find only $91 million of it. A rather implausible amount, since, at the moment, experts believe that there are only $7 billion bitcoins in circulation.
Byju's valuation is now at about $10.8 Byju's works to simplify math and science for kids through games and videos, according to Bloomberg, catering to students between kindergarten and 12th grade. Existing investors Tiger Global Management , General Atlantic and Owl Ventures also participated, Bloomberg reported.
As a result, the ‘traditional’ valuation of an advisory firm wasn’t really 2X revenue; it was 6-8X profits, and when advisory firms can run 25% to 30% profit margins, 7X profits at 28% margins came out to almost exactly 2X revenue. (In When it comes to technology firms, revenue valuation multiples are often much higher.
As it turns out, there are ways you can use data to your advantage, even if you’re not a math wizard. Barry Ritholtz : So let’s break that into two halves, starting with valuation. Explain why P/E isn’t the best way to measure valuation. People did whatever was working based more on gut feelings than data.
The details of the IPO remain somewhat up-in-the-air, as StichFix has not yet released how much it is hoping to make, though the buzz from unnamed sources noted a valuation and target range between $3 and $4 billion. In addition, StitchFix is going beyond using algorithms to determine which items a user is 80 percent likely to buy.
I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. You really like the long time where you have to hold to make up that valuation whole is so long that you just really shouldn’t be involved. In 2000, right.
But there’s always gotta be some element of the valuation really being compelling. But even in the book I wrote in 2014, you could see that the focus on competitive advantage can never be absolute, you always have to take valuation into consideration. But maybe second to valuation as a primary consideration.
It was about $170 million valuation. So here’s the math, Barry. If you have seven $50 incremental year, then every 10 year old in America, when they enter into the fifth or sixth grade and the teacher says, Hey, today we’re gonna talk about math or compounding or stocks or capitalism, they’ll say, open up.
And I did the math, and I think at that point in time, roughly speaking, assets in ETS were roughly just 10 percent, 12 percent of assets in mutual funds and I was pretty convinced that that number was to increase significantly. I remember telling myself, why would anyone invest in mutual funds when you can buy an ETF instead?
RITHOLTZ: So hold the duration risk aside with those two, but just for an investor in treasuries, I know you’ve done the math before. If you’re giving up that 1% big fat yield in 2019, 2021, let’s say you give up three years of 1% and get zero, how does the math work over the subsequent couple of years?
So along those lines, there are some venture firms that don’t really seem to care a lot about valuations and others seem to focus on a little bit. Is valuation significant, or is it, hey, we’re going to make 100 investments and if two or three workout, the valuations are irrelevant? How do you fall in that spectrum?
And I did a lot of options math, which I thought was interesting. That is not being reflected in valuations from a top down standpoint. One is, if you think about EM, equity valuations versus the s and p, the EM index is trading at, you know, 10 to 11 times forward pe. You can get growth at extremely compelling valuations.
Its founder walked away with a giant buyout package even as its valuation crashed. And I am a lover of math. I was a math nerd in high school. Math is one of my favorite tools. That company is now mired in an enormous financial scandal. The company whose filing paper said it was going to change the world.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. We built a company that was focused on valuation, initially, actually targeting corporate strategic planning departments.
He has a very interesting approach to thinking about market valuations and strategies and when to deploy capital, when to go with the crowd, when to lean against the crowd, and has amassed and excellent track record. Second part of our framework is valuation fundamental work. Well, that means valuations are probably too high.
DAVIS: Where international equities, because of valuations, probably 7% to 7.5%. RITHOLTZ: So let’s talk about that, because that gap in valuation has persisted for a long time. How durable is that shift, given how large that gap has gotten in valuation between US stocks and the rest of the developed world?
Now if we only knew the denominator and could do the math to see what those numbers really look like. Zenefits’ Valuation Cut. By having a reset in valuation, it could be argued that the firm is offering payment of sorts for its own past behavior. It is also, perhaps, setting the bar lower for valuation to climb again.
So I took it upon myself to go off and took a course in bond math, took another course in derivatives and realized the underlying fundamental concepts were barely, I mean, it wasn’t even high school math in most cases. I didn’t know what any of these terms meant. We’ve seen a couple of these events now.
In 2021, elevated equity valuations and relatively low bond yields led the researchers to suggest 3.3% And while Buffett was naturally gifted in math, he was initially scared of public speaking. He also dug deep into a particular area of business—insurance—to try to gain an information edge on other investors.
You do the math and you’re like, “Okay, well, an advisor can handle about 100 clients, an associate advisor can help with some of those clients, you can leverage maybe an associate advisor with a couple of advisors, but there’s a capacity limit for each of the roles.” And so, we pivoted to more of a service team.
But the numbers you can’t argue with, I mean, we all know that the brutal math of investing before costs investors collectively will earn the market return after costs. They will earn that market return less, whatever they’re paying. I did it during the coronavirus collapse in 2020, and I did it again in 2022.
I got the sense that, so Churnin takes 51% for a fairly modest valuation, 10 or $15 million. That, that gives Barstool a half a billion dollar valuation. 00:40:26 [Speaker Changed] They, they know, they know math, they know math. And that was really the end of that. Three subsequent sales in 2020. That’s real money.
So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. It’s just math stick to it over long periods of time. Then the volatility and, and the valuation makes an enormous difference.
I’m good at math and science and you know, I always had an idea what go into business, but I felt that electrical engineering would be a good foundation. You know, I, it always, I I see different numbers all the time, so it’s always kinda like, who’s math if you will? 00:02:16 [Speaker Changed] Me too.
But thankfully, the next decade, things really accelerated in terms of the growth of the company and growth in the valuation, things like that. The math never seems to work out. We’ve been at it for coming on a decade, had only a couple 100,000 customers.
And I was a math nerd as a kid. 00:44:11 [Speaker Changed] Kathy would may have her own valuation, so, but I can’t replicate it myself. Why is there such a spread between US domestic and overseas companies in terms of you’re a value investor in terms of straight up valuation?
Now, we’re shifting to more international places like China, Europe, et cetera, that are really growing, and that valuations are cheaper. How are we doing in literacy versus math versus science? Think about the incredible growth of U.S. technology, that was something to ride for a while. Where are we?
And we’ve automated the, the appraisal process for valuation, both intrinsic value, meaning like, where would we pay it, where would we buy it, and where is the fair market price that asset from that level, from price and from consumer behavior now. We’ve gathered up all the information you would need to do an appraisal.
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. And one of the worst performing factors has been valuation. And I think that’s wrong because valuation does matter.
00:31:40 [Speaker Changed] So there’s the emotions and then there’s the math, right? I, you know, I, I do do the math when I, when I do some of my, my chats with the younger folks on the, on the team and I say, okay, real growth inflation term premium, you see this thing, it’s been zero or negative for the last 15 years.
But plenty of valuation measures, it has no applicability for price-to-sales. ASNESS: Well, first of all, I’m going to somewhat disappoint you saying we do not take very big bets on views like timing asset classes based on valuation. My mom was a math teacher so — RITHOLTZ: Okay. It can apply to earnings.
00:24:49 [Speaker Changed] So let’s talk a little bit about valuation in the public markets. Does that valuation difference in the public markets extend to private markets as well? Does that valuation difference in the public markets extend to private markets as well? Hence the valuation gap.
My Sunday morning look at incompetency, corruption and policy failures: • There’s a real math problem with MicroStrategy’s obscene valuation premium : MicroStrategy is worth around 3x as much as its bitcoin holdings. Avert your eyes! Let’s talk about the implications of that.
And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. You learn the math that can help you with, with market making operations. It’s just not smart on a math basis to do that. 01:02:36 All the math tells us we should not buy high dividend yield stocks.
Literally the first check-in to Robinhood, which went public in 2021 at about a $34 billion valuation. RITHOLTZ: He was the first (inaudible) in round B at the higher valuation. Is it about the valuation? Back then I was Wallstrip was like a 400K valuation. RITHOLTZ: Valuation didn’t make much of a difference.
Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not. The, the math came easier. And I really hated physics, really. It’s so true.
RITHOLTZ: So here’s the question about 2020 and we could talk a little bit about the pandemic, when you have an event from outside the market, sort of feels less like the dot-coms and the valuation issue, and more like the meteor that killed the dinosaurs, it’s totally outside of the system. SIEGEL: Right. RITHOLTZ: Right.
She leads the company’s 50-person team of engineers, attorneys, and analysts, and is a member of the firm’s valuation & investment committees and board of directors. The big picture: While he may represent the most extreme example, Trump isn’t the only one who has realized a lack of shame can be a crucial survival skill.
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