Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 8, 2022

In the first few weeks of 2022, we have had repeated reminders from the market that risk never goes away for good, even in the most buoyant markets, and that when it returns, investors still seem to be surprised that it is there.

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Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 12, 2025

In this post, I will focus on how companies around the world, and in different sectors, performed on their end game of delivering profits, by first focusing on profitability differences across businesses, then converting profitability into returns, and comparing these returns to the hurdle rates that I talked about in my last data update post.

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Musings on Markets

JANUARY 5, 2024

That year, I computed these industry-level statistics for five variables that I found myself using repeatedly in my valuations, and once I had them, I could not think of a good reason to keep them secret. After all, I had no plans on becoming a data service, and making them available to others cost me absolutely nothing.

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Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 27, 2022

Even though we live in an age where user platforms and hyper revenue growth can drive company valuations, that adage remains true. That said, about 31% of the net profits of all publicly traded firms listed globally in 2021 were generated by financial service firms; that percent is lower in the US and higher in emerging markets.

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Musings on Markets

AUGUST 15, 2023

After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporate finance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop.

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Musings on Markets

JANUARY 12, 2021

Thus, you and I can disagree about whether beta is a good measure of risk, but not on the principle that no matter what definition of risk you ultimately choose, riskier investments need higher hurdles than safer investments. Don't get me wrong! That tells me three things.

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Musings on Markets

JANUARY 6, 2023

It is perhaps a reflection of my age that I remember when getting data to do corporate financial analysis or valuation was a chore. Thus, without a sense of what comprises a high or low profit margin for a firm, or what the cost of capital is for the typical company, it is easy to create "fairy tale" valuations and analyses.

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Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

I spent the first week of 2021 in the same way that I have spent the first week of every year since 1995, collecting data on publicly traded companies and analyzing how they navigated the cross currents of the prior year, both in operating and market value terms.

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Musings on Markets

JANUARY 20, 2021

Investors are constantly in search of a single metric that will tell them whether a market is under or over valued, and consequently whether they should buying or selling holdings in that market. Risk premiums can and will change over time : Risk premiums are driven by risk aversion, and risk aversion itself can change over time.

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Barry Ritholtz

MAY 9, 2023

And then in a fit of madness, I guess, at the end of 2006, the credit markets were pretty uninteresting. So I had an interest in the Russian market. One, the London market is where it’s been most of my career. I knew the market, but I also knew the people there. There wasn’t a lot to do. SALISBURY: Yes.

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Barry Ritholtz

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

CHANCELLOR: And look — yeah, but then if you look at the valuation of the market at that time, the market was — the U.S. CHANCELLOR: And look — yeah, but then if you look at the valuation of the market at that time, the market was — the U.S. And I said, “Yes, I agree.”

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CFO News Room

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

directly via email: Resources Featured In This Episode: Looking for sample client service calendars, marketing plans, and more? And we’re going to talk about what’s going on in the markets, briefly talk about the portfolio. ” look at the Monte Carlo simulations, look at what is the hurdle rate.

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Musings on Markets

JULY 25, 2023

The other is pragmatic , since it is almost impossible to value a company or business, without a clear sense of how risk exposure varies across the world, since for many companies, either the inputs to or their production processes are in foreign markets or the output is outside domestic markets.

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Barry Ritholtz

MAY 21, 2024

It’s because, you know, when everybody’s looking at all this data and it all seems terrible, chances are that information’s priced into the market. I 00:13:35 [Speaker Changed] Met him at a, a, a Market Technician’s Association. About equity markets. Oh, nice event. 00:13:46 [Speaker Changed] Yes.

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Barry Ritholtz

NOVEMBER 25, 2024

He, he does some really, really interesting research and gets deep into the weeds on things like market structure, liquidity cascades, what really drives returns, how much should you be focused on alpha versus beta. And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. It’s just a model.

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Musings on Markets

JULY 24, 2024

After the 2008 market crisis, I resolved that I would be far more organized in my assessments and updating of equity risk premiums, in the United States and abroad, as I looked at the damage that can be inflicted on intrinsic value by significant shifts in risk premiums, i.e., my definition of a crisis.

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