Musings on Markets

JANUARY 20, 2021

The Price of Risk The price of risk is what investors demand as a premium, an extra return over and above what they can make on a guaranteed investment (risk free), to invest in a risky asset. Intuitively, if you want to earn a higher risk premium on an investment, holding cash flows fixed, you will pay less for that investment today.

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Barry Ritholtz

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

His latest book could not be more timely, “The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest,” it’s all about the history of interest rates, money lending, investing speculation, funded by banks and loans and credit. You can imagine, you give a bearish message at a bullish investment conference, and no one listens to you.

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Musings on Markets

FEBRUARY 10, 2021

What is a hurdle rate for a business? There are multiple definitions that you will see offered, from it being the cost of raising capital for that business to an opportunity cost , i.e., a return that you can make investing elsewhere, to a required return for investors in that business. What is a hurdle rate?

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CFO News Room

NOVEMBER 8, 2022

” look at the Monte Carlo simulations, look at what is the hurdle rate. So, last year, valuations were high, interest rates were low. And I said, “Look, you’ve got to look at where we are with valuations, and you have to look at where the 10-year Treasury is at. Is it at 1.5%?

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Musings on Markets

AUGUST 15, 2023

In every introductory finance class, you begin with the notion of a risk-free investment, and the rate on that investment becomes the base on which you build, to get to expected returns on risky assets and investments. What is a risk free investment?

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Investments Currencies Treasury Hurdle Rate 83

Musings on Markets

JANUARY 5, 2024

In pursuit of an answer to that question, I used company-specific data from Value Line, one of the earliest entrants into the investment data business, to compute an industry average. In January 1993, I was valuing a retail company, and I found myself wondering what a reasonable margin was for a firm operating in the retail business.

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CFO News Room

JANUARY 7, 2023

Data: Trickle to a Flood! It is perhaps a reflection of my age that I remember when getting data to do corporate financial analysis or valuation was a chore. That said, to use mean reversion in analysis or investing, you need to know what these averages are, either over time or across companies, and data can help in that pursuit. .

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Musings on Markets

JANUARY 6, 2023

It is perhaps a reflection of my age that I remember when getting data to do corporate financial analysis or valuation was a chore. Thus, without a sense of what comprises a high or low profit margin for a firm, or what the cost of capital is for the typical company, it is easy to create "fairy tale" valuations and analyses.

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Musings on Markets

JANUARY 9, 2021

Put simply, I possess no exclusivity here, and staying consistent with my thesis, I don't expect to expect to make money by investing based upon this data. The first is that I do not have a macro focus, and my interests in macro variables occur only in the context of corporate finance or valuation issues. So, why bother?

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Barry Ritholtz

MAY 21, 2024

She is one of the few people who combine quantitative investing with behavioral finance. No, I think that that’s the part of it that I find the most interesting is the idea that, you know, a stock price doesn’t really have a, you know, the fair value of an an investment instrument is somewhat arbitrary. Right, right.

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Musings on Markets

JULY 25, 2023

To the extent that divide is not just descriptive, but also drives real world investment, both companies and investors may be misallocating their capital, and I will argue for finer delineations of risk. I have my reasons. I know that the currency choice is the source of angst for many analysts, and I think unnecessarily so.

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Barry Ritholtz

NOVEMBER 25, 2024

I, if you are at all interested in concepts of things like portable alpha or return stacking, or just want to know how a quant looks at the world of investing and tries to decide where there are opportunities. Quantitative investing was, was that the plan from the beginning? Let’s talk a little bit about your background.

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Musings on Markets

JULY 24, 2024

Country Risk: Determinants At the risk of stating the obvious, investing and operating in some countries is much riskier than investing and operating in others, with variations in risk on multiple dimensions. Political Structure Would you rather invest/operate in a democracy than in an autocracy?

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