Remove Forecasting Remove Hurdle Rate Remove Numbers
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Data Update 6 for 2025: From Macro to Micro - The Hurdle Rate Question!

Musings on Markets

In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to risk premiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. A key tool in both endeavors is a hurdle rate a rate of return that you determine as your required return for business and investment decisions.

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Data Update 1 for 2025: The Draw (and Danger) of Data

Musings on Markets

Noise in predictions : One reason that the expert class is increasingly mistrusted is because of the unwillingness on the part of many in this class to admit to uncertainty in their forecasts for the future. Aggregate operating numbers 3. Corporate Governance & Descriptive 1. Insider, CEO & Institutional holdings 2.

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Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

CFO News Room

That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts. If a firm is badly managed, and you expect it to remain badly managed, you can and should build in that expectation into your forecasts of that company’s earnings and value.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts. If a firm is badly managed, and you expect it to remain badly managed, you can and should build in that expectation into your forecasts of that company's earnings and value.

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World’s Best Supply Chain Finance Providers 2025

Global Finance

Implementing DTSCF can be more complex than traditional SCF due to the increased number of parties involved and the need to track payments across multiple tiers. Suppliers can instantly track invoice payments and upcoming payment totals for improved forecasting.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

As the risk-free rate rises, expected returns on equities will be pushed up, and holding all else constant, stock prices will go down., and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop. In a reflection of the times, there have been two developments.

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Data Update 1 for 2021: A (Data) Look Back at a Most Forgettable Year (2020)!

Musings on Markets

In closing, I also want to dispense with the notion that data is objective and that numbers-focused people have no bias. Finally, it is worth noting that, notwithstanding the travails of last year, the number of firms in the data universe increased from 44,394 firms at the start of 2020 to 46,579 firms, a 4.9%