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Data Update 6 for 2025: From Macro to Micro - The Hurdle Rate Question!

Musings on Markets

A key tool in both endeavors is a hurdle rate a rate of return that you determine as your required return for business and investment decisions. It deepens the acquaintance because you encounter hurdle rates in almost every aspect of finance, and it ruins it, by making these hurdle rates all about equations and models.

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Data Update 1 for 2025: The Draw (and Danger) of Data

Musings on Markets

Noise in predictions : One reason that the expert class is increasingly mistrusted is because of the unwillingness on the part of many in this class to admit to uncertainty in their forecasts for the future. Hiding behind their academic or professional credentials, they ask people to trust them to be right, but that trust has eroded.

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Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

CFO News Room

That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts. If a firm is badly managed, and you expect it to remain badly managed, you can and should build in that expectation into your forecasts of that company’s earnings and value.

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Data Update 4 for 2022: Risk = Danger + Opportunity!

Musings on Markets

That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts. If a firm is badly managed, and you expect it to remain badly managed, you can and should build in that expectation into your forecasts of that company's earnings and value.

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World’s Best Supply Chain Finance Providers 2025

Global Finance

Suppliers can instantly track invoice payments and upcoming payment totals for improved forecasting. MUFG says that clients who implement a dynamic discounting offering enjoy a typical average annualized yield of between 10% and 12% APR, significantly outperforming most internal investment hurdle rates or returns on short-term cash.

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Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!

Musings on Markets

With an index like the S&P 500, you can outsource these estimates at least for the near years, by looking at consensus forecasts from analysts tracking the index. Risk free rates over time : While it is generally not a good idea to play interest rate forecaster, we are in unusual times, with rates close to all time lows.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

As the risk-free rate rises, expected returns on equities will be pushed up, and holding all else constant, stock prices will go down., and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop.