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Even though we live in an age where user platforms and hyper revenue growth can drive company valuations, that adage remains true. To the extent that accountants mis-categorize expenses like leases and R&D, returns can be skewed, as can restructuring and one-time charges.
Even though we live in an age where user platforms and hyper revenue growth can drive company valuations, that adage remains true. To the extent that accountants mis-categorize expenses like leases and R&D, returns can be skewed, as can restructuring and one-time charges.
Default rates are near zero now, fault rates are, are kind of skewed a bit because you, you do have perhaps in high yield, if you look at, you know, with these liability management exercises and other restructurings outta court, it doesn’t default. What’s been been keeping you entertained? So it does factor into it.
What happened over the last year and a half or so is rates went up and valuations went down. I think those are the things that are gonna keep lawyers and restructuring advisors very busy for the foreseeable future. What’s been keeping you entertained either video or audio, Netflix or, or podcasts? Do originations change?
You know, when you look at something like a Bloomingdale’s, what you have to ask yourself is, Bloomingdale’s is restructuring. And at this point in time, the bankruptcy processes, the restructuring processes weren’t that well developed, right? It’s going through a bankruptcy, right? You have to price it.
And so we go back to the basics of what our job should be, risk underwriting, risk assessment, asset prices are different from asset valuation. I mean the valuation is the future cash flow discounted at a risk-free rate plus a risk premium. So as the market and the industry restructure, we’ll certainly be very opportunistic.
And we’d sort of turn that into a valuation business. MILLER: Well actually I thought, leading up to the great financial crisis, I thought to myself, we’re going to be out of business within a couple of years because nobody wanted an independent valuation. What are the, you know, I’d literally have it in my handheld.
And if they don’t, we’re happy to own them at the valuation that we are creating that company act. I’m not, I’m not really into fiction or, or entertaining reading. Tell us about what’s going on today that makes it so interesting. 00:37:26 [Speaker Changed] Huh. That’s really quite intriguing.
It’s just a fascinating conversation about looking at the world from both bottoms up and top-down, as well as thinking about what valuations are like, how likely are macro events, the impact you’re getting not just the return on capital, but as famously said in fixed income, a return of your capital. KOENIGSBERGER: Yeah.
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