Musings on Markets

JANUARY 28, 2025

In this post, I will begin by looking at movements in treasury rates, across maturities, during 2024, and the resultant shifts in yield curves. Treasury Rates in 2024 Coming into 2024, interest rates had taken a rollicking ride, surging in 2022, as inflation made its come back, before settling in 2023.

Banking 69

Banking Treasury Forecasting Economics 69

Future CFO

FEBRUARY 7, 2024

Delving into the key trends shaping the treasury landscape in 2024, the focus is on themes such as staffing challenges, macroeconomic risks, technology adoption, and strategic financial management. Staffing challenges and technology adoption Staffing emerges as a central theme for corporate treasurers.

Treasury 105

Treasury Technology Cash Flow Forecasting Leverage 105

Nerd's Eye View

APRIL 3, 2024

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 97

Economics Marketing Valuation Profit and Loss 97

Global Finance

JULY 26, 2024

Staying ahead of the cash management game is vital for treasurers facing multiple challenges, such as economic and political uncertainties, and our award winners are best positioned to do just that. Some may lack the appropriate treasury management solutions or may not know how to maximize liquidity process efficiency.”

Cash Management 93

Cash Management Treasury Compliance Banking 93

Barry Ritholtz

OCTOBER 24, 2024

At least if you do forecasts for market returns over the next decade (lol), you may see incredible similarities. ICYMI: David Kostin and his team of strategists see a 72% chance the S&P 500 underperforms Treasuries, and a 33% possibility equities return less than inflation. If you are a strategist at Goldman Sachs , then a lot.

Forecasting 130

Forecasting Economics Treasury Technology 130

Global Finance

DECEMBER 26, 2024

GTreasurys FX solution achieves this by giving treasury teams the power to consolidate exposure data, automate risk assessments, and execute effective hedging strategies, all from one cohesive interface. FIS Global , which wins for Best FX Regtech Tool, developed Investment Risk Manager.

Foreign Exchange 96

Foreign Exchange Banking Currencies Treasury 96

Simply Treasury

JUNE 3, 2021

Every year, EACT launches a treasury survey to identify top priorities for Corporates. Treasury top priorities. The 2021 EACT survey, as it has become a tradition, attempts early this year to determine what the treasury trends and priorities for multinational companies will be in the next 12 to 24 months.

Cash Flow Forecasting 130

Cash Flow Forecasting Treasury Forecasting Foreign Exchange 130

Future CFO

JULY 17, 2023

Faced with ongoing market volatility, the enterprise C-suite is leaning on its treasury teams like never before to protect company assets and to (ideally) also capitalise on competitive opportunities emerging from an unstable macroeconomic climate. Treasurers should leverage cash forecasts to achieve better cash conversion.

Treasury 98

Treasury Forecasting Cash Management Concentration 98

Global Finance

OCTOBER 21, 2024

Long-term guaranteed fixed rates allow corporate treasuries to enhance financial stability, optimize liquidity, and align cash management practices with overall corporate strategy. Securing guaranteed FX rates of longer tenors can help them improve forecasting, which will lead to better informed decision-making.”

Cash Flow Forecasting 111

Cash Flow Forecasting Treasury Forecasting Cash Management 111

PYMNTS

AUGUST 31, 2020

In addition to steering their organizations through the murky and rocky waters of an economic downturn, treasury departments are securing a place at the decision-makers' table to offer higher-level guidance. Some may say, 'data is the next oil,' but it can't be if the company doesn't have the platform to optimize its use.".

Treasury 74

Treasury Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Prioritization Investments 74

E78 Partners

MARCH 3, 2025

While overall 2025 economic conditions have been positive, tariffs, persistent interest rates and geo-political instability are creating uncertainty. Implement budgeting and forecasting processes that withstand market scrutiny. Yet many middle-market companies continue to explore opportunities to go public.

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) 52

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) GAAP Marketing Compliance 52

Simply Treasury

NOVEMBER 2, 2020

The overall uncertainty manifests itself in economic forecasts with a larger range of growth projections for America and Europe in the next year. At the end of the day, economic history will tell us whether the economic world was changing profoundly, after the COVID-19, or not. François Masquelier – Simply TREASURY

Currencies 130

Currencies Economics Treasury Budgeting 130

CFO News Room

FEBRUARY 4, 2022

Treasury yield, which helps set borrowing costs on everything from mortgages to corporate loans, settled at 1.930%, its highest close since December 2019. That was well above forecasts from economists who had expected a larger drag from the latest wave of Covid-19 cases. The benchmark 10-year U.S.

Benchmarking 130

Benchmarking Treasury Economics Banking 130

Bank of the West

OCTOBER 18, 2021

6 FACTORS CHANGING THE FUTURE OF TREASURY MANAGEMENT. Supply chain snafus, the pandemic, and climate change add pressure on corporate treasurers to better track cash, monitor and forecast liquidity, and assess financial risk. No wonder 83% of treasury professionals say the value assigned to treasury grew during COVID-19.

Treasury 52

Treasury Forecasting Communication Leadership 52

CFO Leadership

MARCH 31, 2022

Cash forecasting is meant to drive smarter business decisions in all economic climates. Many finance teams —empowered by broader treasury digitization and technology breakthroughs — are now embracing new forecasting solutions that use machine learning to harness data and improve confidence. By cash flow types?

Forecasting 52

Forecasting Treasury Invoicing Leadership 52

Global Finance

JUNE 11, 2024

Morgan Payments, discusses fostering innovation within the corporate treasury with Global Finance. For example, our data solutions help harness a client’s data into actionable insights while helping them confidently navigate rapidly changing economic environments.

Technology 119

Technology Treasury Prioritization Strategic Planning 119

CFO News Room

JANUARY 14, 2023

There are three possible explanations for the divergence: Short term versus Long term : The consumer survey extracts an expectation of inflation in the near term, whereas the treasury markets are providing a longer term perspective, since I am using ten-year rates to derive the market-implied inflation.

Treasury 130

Treasury Economics Investments Marketing 130

Bank of the West

OCTOBER 18, 2021

6 Factors Changing the Future of Treasury Management. Supply chain snafus, the pandemic, and climate change add pressure on corporate treasurers to better track cash, monitor and forecast liquidity, and assess financial risk. No wonder 83% of treasury professionals say the value assigned to treasury grew during COVID-19.

Treasury 52

Treasury Forecasting Communication Leadership 52

CFO News Room

FEBRUARY 4, 2022

That matters, because rising rates will increase the debt service (interest payments the US government must pay on the outstanding Treasury securities). His research focuses on financial markets, cryptocurrencies, monetary policy-related issues, the economics of games, and problems in economic measurement.

Economics 130

Economics Benchmarking Treasury Budgeting 130

Global Finance

JULY 26, 2024

This diversity of problems challenges companies to manage their cash flow effectively, elevating the need for data insights on cash flows to create more-accurate forecasts; requiring integration from local banking partners to deliver treasury solutions.

Cash Management 52

Cash Management Treasury Reconciliations Currencies 52

PYMNTS

SEPTEMBER 12, 2019

banks have decreased their targets with an economic environment that is changing, the Financial Times reported. The forecast assumes stable unemployment, GDP growth of 1.5 Bank shares have been helped by a slight steepening of the yield curve and increasing yields on treasuries that are long-dated. Multiple large U.S.

Forecasting 49

Forecasting Accounting Standards Treasury Banking 49

PYMNTS

APRIL 14, 2020

The digital transformation of corporate treasury is not a destination; it’s a journey. However, those data attributes are critical when it comes to automatically reconciling incoming and outgoing payments, and for supporting cash flow forecasting. One example is the JPMorgan Treasury Ignition product that plugs into NetSuite.

Cash Flow Forecasting 92

Cash Flow Forecasting Treasury Foreign Exchange Benchmarking 92

Global Finance

SEPTEMBER 9, 2024

Corporate treasury professionals are reassessing investment strategies to stay agile and conserve cash amid interest rate shifts and geopolitical uncertainty. A sense of nervousness amid ongoing global disruption pervades strategic thinking across global treasury functions.

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) 105

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Treasury Currencies Finance 105

CFO News Room

JANUARY 17, 2023

As the world’s attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. Ukraine, a part of the Soviet Union, has had its shares of ups and downs, and its economic footprint is even smaller.

Economics 130

Economics Valuation Treasury Forecasting 130

CFO News Room

JANUARY 9, 2023

There is a market-based estimate of inflation that comes from the US treasury market, where a comparison of yields on a treasury bond with that on a inflation-protected treasury bond of equivalent maturity provides a measure of expected inflation.

Treasury 130

Treasury Currencies Valuation Forecasting 130

Global Finance

JULY 26, 2024

Forecasts from the US Federal Reserve signaling just one modest cut this year will have far-reaching implications on how US-headquartered corporations with Latin American subsidiaries manage their liquidity flows. Latin American firms are also increasingly looking to banking partners for both liquidity provision and treasury services.

Cash Management 52

Cash Management Treasury Foreign Exchange Concentration 52

CFO News Room

JANUARY 22, 2023

While there are many events during 2022, some political and some economic, that one can point to as the reason for poor stock returns, it is undeniable that inflation was the driving force behind the market correction.

Forecasting 130

Forecasting Treasury Investments Economics 130

Barry Ritholtz

JANUARY 8, 2024

Long and Variable Lags : The recessionistas who are convinced a recession scenario is likely for 2024 are basing their forecasts a simple fact: Monetary policy impacts the economy on a delay (aka “long and variable lags”). Hence, why forecasting is so fraught with error. November 29, 2023) _ 1. More on this at a later date.

Forecasting 132

Forecasting Concentration Marketing Construction 132

Musings on Markets

MAY 6, 2022

There are three possible explanations for the divergence: Short term versus Long term : The consumer survey extracts an expectation of inflation in the near term, whereas the treasury markets are providing a longer term perspective, since I am using ten-year rates to derive the market-implied inflation.

Treasury 102

Treasury Economics Investments Marketing 102

Global Finance

OCTOBER 8, 2024

In 2023, GDP expanded 7%; it is forecast to grow more slowly at 6.5% Behuria, The University of Manchester: Mauritius is at a crossroads economically— and perhaps even politically. Exacerbating the drain on the treasury is a public debt that remains high at 74.5% The government acknowledges the need for economic diversification.

Economics 105

Economics Budgeting Investments Banking 105

Treasury Talent

JULY 26, 2021

? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ? ?. Today’s episode is a monthly economic forecast for Treasurers from our regular guest, Michael Braude. The post Michael Braude – Economic Update Monthly #23 | Episode 192 appeared first on Treasury Talent. In this episode we discuss: . Current movements in the bond markets. .

Economics 40

Economics Treasury Currencies Forecasting 40

PYMNTS

OCTOBER 7, 2020

These include systematically detecting interchange downgrades, identifying cost-saving opportunities by transmitting level two/level three transaction data, and routing through networks with the most favorable economics for a merchant. “I Taking The Headache Out Of Cash Flow Forecasting. They are interdependent.”. Wimmer said J.P.

Cash Flow Forecasting 103

Cash Flow Forecasting Accounts Payable Forecasting Treasury 103

Musings on Markets

OCTOBER 4, 2023

While the rise in treasury rates has been less dramatic this year, rates have continued to rise across the term structure: US Treasury While short term rates rose sharply in the first half of the year, and long term rates stabilized, the third quarter has sen a reversal, with short term rates now stabilizing and long term rates rising.

Marketing 120

Marketing Treasury Valuation Investments 120

Musings on Markets

JULY 17, 2023

In my third post at the start of 2023, I looked at US treasuries, the long-touted haven of safety for investors. In 2022, they were in the eye on the storm, with the ten-year US treasury bond depreciating in price by more than 19% during the year, the worst year for US treasury returns in a century.

Marketing 98

Marketing Treasury Currencies Valuation 98

Centage

MARCH 7, 2023

Tech Adoption Remains High Despite the economic uncertainty, organization’s are still moving forward with digital business initiatives – especially when it comes to the office of finance. Tech Priorities Moving Forward Technology priorities are shifting in accordance with the newest developments and a coming economic downturn.

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) 98

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) Investments Budgeting Forecasting 98

Musings on Markets

MARCH 19, 2022

As the world's attention is focused on the war in the Ukraine, it is the human toll, in death and injury, that should get our immediate attention, and you may find a focus on economics and markets to be callous. Ukraine, a part of the Soviet Union, has had its shares of ups and downs, and its economic footprint is even smaller.

Economics 100

Economics Valuation Treasury Forecasting 100

CFO News Room

JANUARY 6, 2023

” Stocks rallied after the report, and Treasury yields — which move opposite price — fell. But with its fed funds rate at 4.25%-4.50%, the Fed has targeted more rate hikes until it reaches its forecast of 5.1% Gapen said the strong jobs report reinforces his rate hike forecast. You hit it on all three notes.”

Forecasting 130

Forecasting Marketing Treasury Numbers 130