Barry Ritholtz

JANUARY 2, 2025

This is true about equity and bond markets, specific company stocks, and economic data series. It is especially true for strategists and forecasters at large brokers and banks. Similarly, there are numerous problems with forecasting. Even the most well-ordered, thoughtful forecasts turn to mush when randomness strikes.

Forecasting 138

Forecasting Entertainment Investments Economics 138

CFO Dive

MARCH 19, 2025

Policymakers said in a statement that inflation remains “elevated” while “uncertainty around the economic outlook has increased.”

Forecasting 220

Forecasting Economics 220

CFO Dive

SEPTEMBER 22, 2023

The outlook among small businesses has brightened as economists upgrade forecasts for economic growth this year and in 2024.

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Forecasting Economics 322

CFO Dive

MAY 10, 2024

The forecast that price pressures will fall aligns with a 13% decline this month in sentiment among consumers, who fuel roughly 70% of economic growth.

Forecasting 289

Forecasting Economics 289

CFO Talks

FEBRUARY 12, 2025

Optimising Budgets: Strategies for Effective Financial Forecasting Financial forecasting plays a crucial role in managing budgets effectively. However, forecasting is not just about guessing numbersit is a structured process that relies on analysing past data, considering present trends, and planning. Allocate resources wisely.

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Forecasting Budgeting Economics Planning 52

CFO Dive

NOVEMBER 1, 2023

The central bank kept the federal funds rate unchanged despite higher-than-forecast strength in hiring and economic growth.

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Forecasting Economics Banking 293

Global Finance

APRIL 7, 2025

The region is set to drive global economic growth, powered by its population and tech sector. The Asia-Pacific region (APAC) will lead global economic growth over the next 15 years thanks to several factors, some of which are already manifest and some of which have yet to emerge. billion citizens to 4.6

Economics 52

Economics Manufacturing Treasury Forecasting 52

Barry Ritholtz

DECEMBER 1, 2023

The chart above shows that 84% of CEOs are forecasting a recession over the next 12 months, 69% of Consumers saying the same thing, with the yield curve predicting a 61% chance of a contraction. The problem is those sets of forecasts is already 2 months old, dated October 3, 2023. Previously : Slowing U.S.

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Forecasting Economics Marketing 115

CFO Dive

APRIL 27, 2023

Robust consumer spending buoyed economic growth during the first quarter amid widespread forecasts of recession.

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Forecasting Economics 274

Focus CFO

NOVEMBER 22, 2024

Heading into 2025, accurate sales forecasting is more critical than ever. Economic uncertainties and rapid technological shifts make it essential to have a crystal-clear picture of your revenue pipeline. Here are five key ways to align your sales forecasting and budgeting processes for success in the year ahead.

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Forecasting Budgeting Sales CFO 52

CFO Dive

JUNE 3, 2022

CFOs considering changes to wages, prices and other critical points of business strategy must filter an unusual range of conflicting economic forecasts.

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Forecasting Economics 266

CFO Dive

SEPTEMBER 22, 2022

Fed officials raised their projections for inflation and unemployment while marking down their forecasts for economic growth.

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Forecasting Economics 261

CFO Dive

FEBRUARY 15, 2023

Amid economic uncertainty, financial forecast accuracy, liquidity, cash flow, and capital structure will be among top priorities for CFOs this year, according to a study.

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Forecasting Economics 261

CFO Dive

JANUARY 9, 2023

Earnings forecasts for U.S. companies fell, FactSet said, after the Fed’s aggressive effort to curb inflation increased borrowing costs and dimmed prospects for economic growth.

Forecasting 261

Forecasting Economics 261

Simply Treasury

SEPTEMBER 9, 2020

“If you have to forecast, forecast often” (Edgar R. Need for reliable forecasts. Nobody could deny the importance of having accurate and reliable Cash-Flow Forecasts (CFF). Managing cash is easier than forecasting cash. Managing cash is easier than forecasting cash. So, what are the keys to good forecasting?

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Cash Flow Forecasting Forecasting Treasury Budgeting 130

Navigator SAP

FEBRUARY 10, 2023

The economic outlook is very uncertain in these post-pandemic times. Goldman Sachs is a bit more optimistic—about the US, at least—forecasting a 35 percent chance of a recession in the US this coming year. Forecasters polled by the Wall Street Journal give it about a 65 percent chance of a recession.

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Forecasting Economics Banking CFO 246

CFO Selections

NOVEMBER 20, 2024

As such, their responsibilities include: budgeting and forecasting, managing mergers or acquisitions, and handling compliance issues. The CFO role is forward-thinking as they consider economic, industry, tax, government regulation and social issues.

CFO 105

CFO Tax Planning Leadership Budgeting 105

Global Finance

DECEMBER 4, 2024

Analysts cite mounting economic frustrations, especially among the young, as key to the party’s downfall. Known for efficient governance, a well-functioning civil service, and prudent economic management, the country achieved upper-middle-income status in 2005, showcasing its resilience and progress. Significant challenges persist.

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Foreign Exchange Economics Construction Leadership 96

Global Finance

DECEMBER 27, 2024

Tanzanias socioeconomic transformation drives economic dominance by attracting substantial investments and dominating intraregional trade. The East African nation has opted to go on quietly pursuing economic supremacy. The momentum persists, with growth forecast at 5.4% Outsiders, however, are taking note. Tanzania office.

Foreign Exchange 144

Foreign Exchange Investments Economics Currencies 144

Fpanda Club

JANUARY 23, 2025

FP&A is an evolving function that falls into the intersection of finance, operations and strategy aimed at driving better decision-making trough insightful analysis, forecasting and goal setting. In this blog post I wont focus on the activities that fall into FP&As scope by default, such as budgeting, forecasting and regular analysis.

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) 130

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) Mergers and Acquisitions (M&A) Prioritization Forecasting 130

CFO Plans

MARCH 10, 2025

In today’s unpredictable economic climate, staying ahead of payroll challenges is a crucial priority for business owners and finance leaders, particularly in industries like tech, hospitality, and real estate. The post Staying Ahead in a Volatile Economic Environment appeared first on CFO PLANS | Blog.

Economics 52

Economics CFO Risk Management Leverage 52

Centage

MAY 23, 2022

The current economic circumstances haven’t just resulted in financial uncertainty for millions of Americans. With rolling forecasts, businesses can gain better insight while aligning their sales and production goals with what’s actually happening from a financial perspective. What’s a Rolling Forecast? What’s a Rolling Budget?

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Forecasting Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) Budgeting Planning 98

Future CFO

SEPTEMBER 7, 2023

Atradius has recently upgraded its global GDP growth forecast for 2023 to 2.4%, which is a slowdown from 2022 but a significant improvement on earlier predictions. In addition, the firm posted a global GDP growth forecast of 2.0% Emerging market economies (EMEs) will fare better, with forecast growth of 3.9% for 2024. “We

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Forecasting Economics Numbers Banking 97

Embark With Us

JUNE 29, 2022

Take the rolling forecast, for example. Lending agility, foresight, and flexibility to leaders and their organizations, the rolling forecast is an operational GPS unit that can lead your company through even the roughest, most uncertain economic terrain. The best things in life – and business – are worth a little elbow grease.

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Forecasting Economics Finance 98

Centage

NOVEMBER 28, 2022

With proper budgeting and forecasting, just about any business can protect itself against recession. Failing to reevaluate assumptions in today’s uncertain economic environment can have serious consequences. Revisit Your Forecast Assumptions. Use Actuals for Your Forecast. Revisiting assumptions takes time and effort.

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) 98

Financial Planning and Analysis (FP&A) Forecasting Budgeting Economics 98

Future CFO

APRIL 19, 2022

The World Bank said recently that it has slashed lowered its annual global growth forecast for 2022 from 4.1% The largest single factor behind the economic slowdown was a projected economic contraction of 4.1% The post World Bank lowers global growth forecast to 3.2% across Europe and Central Asia, World Bank noted.

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Forecasting Banking Economics 98

CFO Talks

DECEMBER 3, 2024

As a CFO in South Africa, where economic pressures and regulatory changes are constant challenges, finding this balance is especially critical. For instance, using automated invoicing software could save hours of manual work, enabling your team to focus on higher-value tasks like analysing trends or forecasting.

CFO 84

CFO Financial Analysis Invoicing Economics 84

Nerd's Eye View

APRIL 3, 2024

Yet, by taking a measured look at factors driving economic activity and influencing behavior, advisors can help clients face risks they can't control and (hopefully) position themselves to take advantage of opportunities as they develop. Meanwhile, a smorgasbord of potential risks threatens economic growth's "soft landing" narrative.

Economics 97

Economics Marketing Valuation Profit and Loss 97

Barry Ritholtz

MARCH 18, 2025

This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. Bad Numbers : 4.

Investments 127

Investments Math Concentration Valuation 127

CFO News

DECEMBER 6, 2022

Fitch on Tuesday retained India's economic growth forecast at 7 per cent for the current fiscal, saying India could be one of the fastest-growing emerging markets this year.

Forecasting 98

Forecasting Economics Marketing 98

Future CFO

MAY 31, 2022

Global growth forecasts for 2022 and 2023 are lower as Russia's invasion of Ukraine and pandemic lockdowns in China add to supply shocks and stoke inflation, said Moody’s recently. in 2022 and emerging market countries will grow 3.8%, down from March forecasts of 3.2% Advanced economies will expand 2.6%

Forecasting 96

Forecasting Economics Banking Marketing 96

Centage

OCTOBER 3, 2022

This accessible program can accomplish various tasks, such as financial forecasting and budgeting. If your business has used Excel for financial forecasting, you may have found some challenges with the program. However, there can be some disadvantages to using Excel for your company’s financial forecasting.

Forecasting 98

Forecasting Budgeting Data Analysis Financial Modeling 98

Barry Ritholtz

OCTOBER 24, 2024

At least if you do forecasts for market returns over the next decade (lol), you may see incredible similarities. In other words, if you were forecasting 10-year returns of 3% annually, you are also forecasting an economic shitstorm of rare and historic proportions. If you are a strategist at Goldman Sachs , then a lot.

Forecasting 130

Forecasting Economics Treasury Technology 130

Global Finance

OCTOBER 31, 2024

Moody’s forecasts strong profitability over the next 12-18 months based on solid economic growth in GCC countries, robust commercial activity, and government initiatives that give Islamic finance a bigger role in diversifying the region’s economies.

Banking 105

Banking Finance Forecasting Leverage 105

Nerd's Eye View

JANUARY 3, 2024

The sentiment is especially poignant when it comes to economic forecasting, as it's nearly impossible to get an accurate picture of the current state of the economy at any given moment. The key point is that, given the current economic uncertainty, there are several ways that advisors can help clients prepare for potential downturns.

Economics 98

Economics Marketing Forecasting Valuation 98

Future CFO

NOVEMBER 6, 2024

He also highlights the importance of building agility in supply chain management and, external focus and benchmarking in forecasting, whilst continuing to be data and insight-led. In weathering these challenges, Shivam notes the importance of having clarity of vision and ensuring resource allocations are clearly aligned with the vision.

Finance 96

Finance Healthcare Benchmarking Forecasting 96

Future CFO

MARCH 6, 2025

Amid the hype brought about by the advent of artificial intelligence in the Finance function, challenges concerning the technological advancement in sales and receivables forecasting remain. Be explainable finance teams should understand how AI arrived at a given forecast. COVID-19 impact on sales). COVID-19 impact on sales).

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Treasury Forecasting Sales Economics 52