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As has been the case for the past several quarters, the prevailing characteristic of the economy is one of bifurcation, with interest rate-sensitive sectors remaining in a recession (as evidenced by the manufacturing sector's 16-month-long contraction), while the services sector (which accounts for nearly 80% of U.S. GDP) continues to expand.
Moody’s, he noted, is well known for its counterparty creditrisk analysis. For example, Oliver Li , treasury manager at Asia Pacific at FMC Corporation , assessed the business value of moving some manufacturing from China to Egypt as the former faced power outages.
And really what we were missing was sort of a very simplified treasury, what we call treasury kind of payments bundle for companies to manage working capital, a simple digital platform for earlier stage companies and a venture debt capability. Higher interest rates have really had hurt to manufacturing, global manufacturing.
So, 00:25:13 [Speaker Changed] So let’s talk about that before we get to private credit. First time in decades, treasuries and investment grade corporates, it’s, it’s an attractive yield at five 5.5%. How has that spread changed now that the floor is five, five point half percent for, for fed rates?
And up until that moment in time, we didn’t spend a lot of time on creditrisk in mortgages. We didn’t really have to model creditrisk because that was, that risk was taken by the agencies. But in these private labels, you had the, the market was taking the creditrisk.
And what I hear from a lot of people is, and I’ll hear it from the credit team significantly at the firm yield buyer, there’s a yield buyer, there’s a yield buyer, and there’s a threshold of yields. Well, if you only care about yield, just go buy treasuries. You have to get compensated for each risk.
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