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In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to risk premiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. A key tool in both endeavors is a hurdlerate a rate of return that you determine as your required return for business and investment decisions.
In corporatefinance and investing, which are areas that I work in, I find myself doing double takes as I listen to politicians, market experts and economists making statements about company and market behavior that are fairy tales, and data is often my weapon for discerning the truth. Corporate Governance & Descriptive 1.
In fact, the business life cycle has become an integral part of the corporatefinance, valuation and investing classes that I teach, and in many of the posts that I have written on this blog. In 2022, I decided that I had hit critical mass, in terms of corporate life cycle content, and that the material could be organized as a book.
Risk and HurdleRates In investing and corporatefinance, we have no choice but to come up with measures of risk, flawed though they might be, that can be converted into numbers that drive decisions. Not surprisingly, both these forces play a role in how companies and investors set hurdlerates.
Risk and HurdleRates In investing and corporatefinance, we have no choice but to come up with measures of risk, flawed though they might be, that can be converted into numbers that drive decisions. Not surprisingly, both these forces play a role in how companies and investors set hurdlerates.
I am in the third week of the corporatefinance class that I teach at NYU Stern, and my students have been lulled into a false sense of complacency about what's coming, since I have not used a single metric or number in my class yet. Data Update 4 for 2025: Interest Rates, Inflation and Central Banks!
The Dysfunctional Version In practice, though, there is no other aspect of corporatefinance that is more dysfunctional than the cash return or dividend decision, partly because the latter (dividends) has acquired characteristics that get in the way of adopting a rational policy.
The question of whether a company is making or losing money should be a simple one to answer, especially in an age where accounting statements are governed by a myriad of rules, and a legion of number-crunchers follow these rules to report profits generated by a firm. The numbers yield interesting insights. .
Measuring Profitability The question of whether a company is making or losing money should be a simple one to answer, especially in an age where accounting statements are governed by a myriad of rules, and a legion of number-crunchers follow these rules to report profits generated by a firm. The numbers yield interesting insights.
Last week, was my data week, where I download and analyze data on all publicly traded companies, listed anywhere in the world, and I will post extensively on what the numbers look like after a most tumultuous year. CorporateFinance : Corporatefinance is the development of the first financial principles that govern how to run a business.
In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdlerates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.
This is the last of my data update posts for 2023, and in this one, I will focus on dividends and buybacks, perhaps the most most misunderstood and misplayed element of corporatefinance. Viewed in that context, dividends as just as integral to a business, as the investing and financing decisions.
Mean reversion : I am not a knee-jerk believer in mean reversion, but the tendency for numbers to move back towards averages is a strong one. Counter made-up numbers : It remains true that people (analysts, market experts, politicians) often make assertions based upon either incomplete or flawed data, or no data at all.
After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporatefinance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. Why does the risk-free rate matter? What is a risk free investment?
Mean reversion : I am not a knee-jerk believer in mean reversion, but the tendency for numbers to move back towards averages is a strong one. Counter made-up numbers : It remains true that people (analysts, market experts, politicians) often make assertions based upon either incomplete or flawed data, or no data at all.
If you have taken a corporatefinance class sometime in your past life are probably wondering how this approach reconciles with the Miller-Modigliani theorem, a key component of most corporatefinance classes, which posits that there is no optimal debt ratio, and that the debt mix does not affect the value of a business.
In closing, I also want to dispense with the notion that data is objective and that numbers-focused people have no bias. Finally, it is worth noting that, notwithstanding the travails of last year, the number of firms in the data universe increased from 44,394 firms at the start of 2020 to 46,579 firms, a 4.9%
I went into what’s called corporatefinance, what people would see now as sort of M&A department. CHANCELLOR: Well, I was actually in a sort of subgroup there, which was called corporate strategy. But I didn’t last very long there because I thought I didn’t like corporatefinance.
The numbers that I computed opened my eyes to how much perspective on the high, low, and typical values, i.e., the distribution of margins, helped in valuing the company, and how little information there was available, at least at that time, on this dimension. Aggregate operating numbers 3. Tax rates 4. Financing Flows 5.
In particular, there are wide variations in how risk is measured, and once measured, across companies and countries, and those variations can lead to differences in expected returns and hurdlerates, central to both corporatefinance and investing judgments.
Country Risk in Business Most corporatefinance classes and textbooks leave students with the proposition that the right hurdlerate to use in assessing business investments is the cost of capital, but create a host of confusion about what exactly that cost of capital measures.
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