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In the first five posts, I have looked at the macro numbers that drive global markets, from interest rates to risk premiums, but it is not my preferred habitat. A key tool in both endeavors is a hurdlerate a rate of return that you determine as your required return for business and investment decisions.
In corporatefinance and investing, which are areas that I work in, I find myself doing double takes as I listen to politicians, market experts and economists making statements about company and market behavior that are fairy tales, and data is often my weapon for discerning the truth. Financing Flows 5. Beta & Risk 1.
That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts. If a firm is badly managed, and you expect it to remain badly managed, you can and should build in that expectation into your forecasts of that company’s earnings and value.
That expected devaluation in the high-inflation currency is not risk, though, since it can and should be incorporated into your forecasts. If a firm is badly managed, and you expect it to remain badly managed, you can and should build in that expectation into your forecasts of that company's earnings and value.
After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporatefinance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. Why does the risk-free rate matter? What is a risk free investment?
If you have taken a corporatefinance class sometime in your past life are probably wondering how this approach reconciles with the Miller-Modigliani theorem, a key component of most corporatefinance classes, which posits that there is no optimal debt ratio, and that the debt mix does not affect the value of a business.
The first is that I do not have a macro focus, and my interests in macro variables occur only in the context of corporatefinance or valuation issues. I also report estimates of the default spreads based upon current yields on bonds in different ratings classes and the current riskfree rate.
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