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Market Bipolarity: Exuberance versus Exhaustion!

Musings on Markets

While the rise in treasury rates has been less dramatic this year, rates have continued to rise across the term structure: US Treasury While short term rates rose sharply in the first half of the year, and long term rates stabilized, the third quarter has sen a reversal, with short term rates now stabilizing and long term rates rising.

Marketing 106
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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

In my third post at the start of 2023, I looked at US treasuries, the long-touted haven of safety for investors. In 2022, they were in the eye on the storm, with the ten-year US treasury bond depreciating in price by more than 19% during the year, the worst year for US treasury returns in a century.

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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

CFO News Room

Consequently, I will concentrate this post on how this crisis is playing out in markets, and the effects it has had, so far, on businesses and investments, and whether these effects are likely to be transient or permanent. I revisited my valuation of the index, with the updated values: Spreadsheet to value the S&P 500.

Economics 130
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Russia in Ukraine: Let Loose the Dogs of War!

Musings on Markets

Consequently, I will concentrate this post on how this crisis is playing out in markets, and the effects it has had, so far, on businesses and investments, and whether these effects are likely to be transient or permanent.

Economics 100
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The Latest In Financial #AdvisorTech (December 2022)

CFO News Room

As a result, the ‘traditional’ valuation of an advisory firm wasn’t really 2X revenue; it was 6-8X profits, and when advisory firms can run 25% to 30% profit margins, 7X profits at 28% margins came out to almost exactly 2X revenue. (In When it comes to technology firms, revenue valuation multiples are often much higher.

Planning 130
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The Sharing Economy come home: The IPO of Airbnb!

Musings on Markets

Setting the Table As with any valuation, the first step in valuing Airbnb is trying to understand its history and its business model, including how it has navigated the economic consequences of the COVID. The Valuation To value Airbnb, I will follow a familiar script, at least for me.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporate finance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post. For an investment to be risk free then, it has to meet two conditions.