Remove Concentration Remove Economics Remove Valuation
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10 Biggest Ideas in “How NOT to Invest”

Barry Ritholtz

This is as true for professionals as it is for amateurs; it’s also true in music, film, sports, television, and economic and market forecasting. Economic Innumeracy : Some individuals experience math anxiety, but it only takes a bit of insight to navigate the many ways numbers can mislead us. Bad Numbers : 4. Be tax-aware.

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The Corporate Life Cycle: Corporate Finance, Valuation and Investing Implications!

Musings on Markets

In fact, the business life cycle has become an integral part of the corporate finance, valuation and investing classes that I teach, and in many of the posts that I have written on this blog. Advice on concentrating your portfolio and having a margin of safety, both value investing nostrums, may work with the former but not with the latter.

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Round Trip

Barry Ritholtz

Recall John Kenneth Galbraith’s observation: “The only function of economic forecasting is to make astrology look respectable.” Tech Concentration : Yes, a handful of giant tech stocks are driving market gains. But we won’t know how big a losing trade it might be until early 2024, when we see the updated valuations.

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Market Bipolarity: Exuberance versus Exhaustion!

Musings on Markets

Looking across the risk capital metrics, notwithstanding the recovery we have seen in equities this year, it looks like risk capital is still on the side lines, perhaps because that recovery is concentrated in large and money-making companies. YouTube Video Spreadsheets Intrinsic Valuation of the S&P 500 Spreadsheet

Marketing 121
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Market Resilience or Investors In Denial? A Mid-year Assessment for 2023!

Musings on Markets

It is true that economic activity has leveled off and housing prices have declined a little, relative to a year ago, but given the rise in rates in 2022, those changes are mild. If anything, the economy seems to have settled into a stable pattern, albeit at the high levels that it reached in the second half of 2021.

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Marking Time: A new year, a fresh semester and its class time!

Musings on Markets

I end the class with a corporate finance version of valuation, where I tie inputs into value (cash flows, growth and risk) to investment, financing and dividend decisions. Valuation : It is unfortunate, but for most people, the vision that comes to mind when I say that I teach valuation is excel spreadsheets and high profile company names.

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In Search of Safe Havens: The Trust Deficit and Risk-free Investments!

Musings on Markets

After the rating downgrade, my mailbox was inundated with questions of what this action meant for investing, in general, and for corporate finance and valuation practice, in particular, and this post is my attempt to answer them all with one post.