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Its index and its benchmark. I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. GMO is kind of famous for doing seven year forecasts, right? Learn math, learn history. a year, way over both.
I — I loved math, but really, I was going to go down that literature route more than anything else and — and study Spanish literature. And I — I — I don’t like to ask people for predictions and forecasts, but you’re looking at the flows and you get client questions all the time. I was econ and kind of geeky.
They create the benchmark. So when there’s a major turnover like that that happens, you always have the option, “Hey, can you do it exactly on the time that it enters the benchmark? And 87% of our active fixed income funds have outperformed their benchmarks on a three year basis against their benchmarks.
It seems like an easy one, but there’s a lot of missed benchmarking that goes on. We’re going to make a benchmark much easier. So as much as I’m personally still a pretty strong skeptic of active management, I mean, I understand the math, and the odds are not in your favor. It’s how math works.
And because remember, Lehman had the Lehman Agg and that was the benchmark. There is above benchmark returns to be generated by active selection of credit quality duration and specific bonds. How are we doing in literacy versus math versus science? There is alpha. Can you manage that through downturns? RITHOLTZ: Right.
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. When all the experts and forecasts agree, something else is gonna happen. What was the career plan? That’s right.
But if you buy low multiples and sell high multiples, either in a long-only beat the benchmark sense, whether over and underweight, and you did the same thing everyone does and call me a hedge fund manager. And value and momentum do, whether it’s relative outperformance against a benchmark or absolute performance in a hedge fund.
And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. You learn the math that can help you with, with market making operations. It’s just not smart on a math basis to do that. So I sell my stocks to make room for gold and it doesn’t, turns out my forecast is wrong.
Early polling does provide a benchmark for charting trends in voter sentiment, but it probably won’t be very predictive of the eventual outcome in 2008.” ” I spend too much time reviewing research that relies on polls and surveys; for the most part, they are as bad as Wall Street forecasting.
You’re doing a lot of math in your head on the Fly. I’m doing, I’m doing an awful lot of math in my head on the fly. So, you know, we, we, we got involved and created a benchmark, a commodity indices at the time. I mean, it’s impossible to forecast this sort of thing.
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