This site uses cookies to improve your experience. To help us insure we adhere to various privacy regulations, please select your country/region of residence. If you do not select a country, we will assume you are from the United States. Select your Cookie Settings or view our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use.
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Used for the proper function of the website
Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
Cookie Settings
Cookies and similar technologies are used on this website for proper function of the website, for tracking performance analytics and for marketing purposes. We and some of our third-party providers may use cookie data for various purposes. Please review the cookie settings below and choose your preference.
Strictly Necessary: Used for the proper function of the website
Performance/Analytics: Used for monitoring website traffic and interactions
TIPS have suddenly moved to center stage for investors, as the surge in inflation has drawn new interest in Treasury inflation-protected securities. This has already happened in the past three months; rates on 10-year Treasury notes have risen to 1.930% from 1.431% in early November. on average, Morningstar says.
So I bought Silicon Valley Bank options (SVB) right after it got cut in halfbut right before it went to zero. These two possibilities a 10-fold increase versus a 90% drop are roughly symmetrical in terms of math (but probably not probabilities). I was up so much on that trade that my trading demons were emboldened.
Why this new book, focusing on central banks and their influence? That thru-line concerns this external body – the central banks – which can effectively manufacture money, and how this money, just by sheer mass momentum and the players involved, goes disproportionately to financial markets relative to the real economy.
Nordea Bank ABP’s finance chief is leaving amid a broader shakeup of the bank’s management under its new chief executive. The lender said Christopher Rees, the group chief financial officer and head of group finance and treasury, is departing next year and intends to move to the U.K., The Wall Street Journal reported.
At that point in time, only 20 percent of SMBs we talked to that asked the government (at any level) for assistance received any, and only 17 percent that asked their banks for more funding had gotten it. Doing The Math. SMBs can apply through their banks for SBA assistance, which offers a loan of 2.5 It may not be so clear-cut.
And now, InvestCloud has announced its own advisor-matching tool, dubbed Advisor Connect, that is being implemented with launch partner Huntington Bank. Which Huntington intends to integrate into its existing online platform for its banking customers.
I was always good at math, but I really, I just didn’t relate to things that were more esoteric bonds options. But that was really all the banks that were doing it, 00:09:56 [Speaker Changed] Not it was the banks, but there were a lot of empty buildings. And I, I think that I kind of triangulated on it.
So you go back a couple of years and you could say, “Well, what return is available buying a treasury?” ” And it turned out, if you looked at the market at that time, it was, I’ll call it 1%, five-year treasury or 10-year treasury. So you say, “Well, we need to invest. How would you have done?
emphasis added) The red flags were there for anyone who could put their greed aside and simply focus on the math. In the 2010s, the true risk-free rate of returns – 10-Year Treasuries – was yielding ~2.5%, so how could anything remotely risk-free be yielding 20 times that amount? Which institutions, banks, VCs have you presented this?
Not only did he serve on the Brady Commission looking at the ’87 crash, but his history of investing and trading and public service, both at the Fed and the Chicago Board of Trade and Treasury Department, really unparalleled, as well as just a pretty amazing track record as an investor and trader. RITHOLTZ: Doing what? RITHOLTZ: Sure.
So when you think about what people are earning in their deposit accounts at their banks, and banks have historically been very slow to raise, very slow in terms of raising deposit rates because those deposits tend to be very sticky. Tell us a little bit about what you as CIO do on the bond side. RITHOLTZ: Yes.
It was between corporate law and investment banking. RITHOLTZ: So even back then, when it was the size that you could take a Christmas picture with everybody in one room at Goldman, they’re still doing investment banking. September 13, 1981, I think the 10-year Treasury was 15.84 RITHOLTZ: Oh, really? KLINSKY: Yeah.
I’m good at math and science and you know, I always had an idea what go into business, but I felt that electrical engineering would be a good foundation. 00:03:11 [Speaker Changed] Yeah, we started out, I started on banking, the two year banking program, which merchant banking was the group I was in.
So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. It’s just math stick to it over long periods of time. And the 10 year yield of A A A J G B or or a or a, a treasury or a bond.
And I was a math nerd as a kid. He developed the Ginnie Mae contract, which at one time was a big thing in treasury bond contract. And Bank of America called me and said, would you like to be director of research and strategy? And the value line has all these statistical patterns. Very inventive and creative person.
In fact, I was going to be a strategist, financial analyst to work for a bank and write research reports. And the ability to say, gosh, you know, there’s a lot of stuff in fixed income, that for a variety of reasons, central bank owns it, a pension fund owns it, insurance companies own it. RIEDER: Right. It has no value.
And we said, let’s just take a little detour here and make sure we understand the credit risk of these things before we sort of travel, start making markets and banking and, and, and really making these a core part of our business. We participated in that with treasury and FHFA and the regulators, the White House.
Barry Ritholtz : So you leave Sanford Bernstein and then, which had really become Alliance Bernstein end up at Merrill Lynch, where eventually your same role Chief Investment Officer for Bank of America Merrill Lynch Wealth Management first, what did, was there still remnants of Mother Merrill when you joined post merger?
I started out math and, and physics, and in high school I was a rock star in math and physics. So, so you, you start out credit analyst at Century back in Bank and Trust prior to getting an MBA, what was it like being a credit analyst in the 1980s? He, he was a president of a small bank enterprise bank up in Lowell.
This was the era, 2005, 2006, all of my friends were looking to get banking roles. And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. And so we, we get this contract written and I go off to grad school assuming I would go work at a big bank doing sales and trading in some quant role.
Wasn’t the Excel spreadsheet error, which changed their math. And I go, the answer is the Japanese central bank is, has interest rates set at 0.5%. How do you look at the relationship between a country’s central bank and its ability to manage its own debt? I mean that was, that was the problem.
At that point, I’d been covering, as you mentioned, investment banking, Goldman Sachs for a couple years. And Steven Mnuchin, the Treasury Secretary, stands up and says, “You guys, you’re looking at the wrong thing. And again, I’m probably pretty lucky. So that’s the question. Who had the earliest read?
00:08:45 [Speaker Changed] Didn’t they end up getting purchased by, was it Deutsche Bank? Something by Deutsche Bank? Did you want to go to a big bank or is that what led to the next step in your career? I’d been ranked i i back in the seventies, if you can do the math. 00:08:49 [Speaker Changed] Right.
I think eventually it’s Dain Rauscher, which is now Royal Bank. So this is the math that I applied. So think about this, do the math. What, what do you do when suddenly the bank calls and says, “Hey, there’s a couple extra zeros in your bank account. RITHOLTZ: Okay. So do you collar this?
In fact, I think Secretary of the Treasury at the time said the market will work out these things and they will not become a problem. MORGENSON: Could be banks, could be Wall Street, could be private debt folks, but it’s — RITHOLTZ: This is very often securitized and sold off into the market as well?
You’re doing a lot of math in your head on the Fly. I’m doing, I’m doing an awful lot of math in my head on the fly. Hank Paulson had left to go become treasury secretary. We did not have the strongest West Coast banking presence. We now had the securities business. They run outta liquidity.
Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not. The, the math came easier. And I really hated physics, really. It’s so true.
We organize all of the trending information in your field so you don't have to. Join 39,000+ users and stay up to date on the latest articles your peers are reading.
You know about us, now we want to get to know you!
Let's personalize your content
Let's get even more personalized
We recognize your account from another site in our network, please click 'Send Email' below to continue with verifying your account and setting a password.
Let's personalize your content