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A key tool in both endeavors is a hurdlerate a rate of return that you determine as your required return for business and investment decisions. It deepens the acquaintance because you encounter hurdlerates in almost every aspect of finance, and it ruins it, by making these hurdlerates all about equations and models.
In this post, I will focus on how companies around the world, and in different sectors, performed on their end game of delivering profits, by first focusing on profitability differences across businesses, then converting profitability into returns, and comparing these returns to the hurdlerates that I talked about in my last data update post.
For the segment of my data that is macroeconomic, my primary source is FRED, the data set maintained by the Federal Reserve Bank , but I supplement with other data that I found online, including NAIC for bond spread data and Political Risk Services (PRS) for country risk scores. Insider, CEO & Institutional holdings 2. Beta & Risk 1.
In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdlerates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.
This has also led many banks to participate in third-party platforms focused on micro, small, and midsize enterprise (MSME) finance. DBS Bank India, for example, launched a preshipment-financing offering on Indias Trade Receivables e-Discounting System to help with end-to-end MSME supplier financing.
And while partnerships, collaboration and internal product development have helped banks to improve their reputations for innovation among their corporate clients, a new report from Boston Consulting Group says it’s not enough. The analysis was drawn from a survey of 300 business banking units ranging in size. ”
As the risk-free rate rises, expected returns on equities will be pushed up, and holding all else constant, stock prices will go down., and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop. Determinants So, why do risk-free rates vary across time and across currencies?
Data Update 4 for 2025: Interest Rates, Inflation and Central Banks! Data Update 6 for 2025: From Macro to Micro - The HurdleRate Question! Data Update 2 for 2025: The Party continued for US Equities Data Update 3 for 2025: The times they are a'changin'! Data Update 5 for 2025: It's a small world, after all!
Collectibles During crises, collectibles often see increased demand, as fear about the future and a loss of faith in institutions (central banks, governments) leads people to see refuge in investments that they believe will outlast the crisis. Data Update 4 for 2021: The HurdleRate Question.
The second is that there are great (and free) sources for macro economic data, ranging from the Federal Reserve (FRED) to the World Bank and I don’t see the point of replicating something that they already do well. Data Update 4 for 2021: The HurdleRate Question. Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!
There are many services, including the World Bank and the Economist, who offer comprehensive country risk scores, and the map below includes composite country risk scores from Political Risk Services in June 2023: The pluses and minuses of comprehensive risk scores are visible in this table.
Investment banks were not really a known concept in the area where I grew up. I lined up a bunch of job interviews with a variety of banks. So I got to know banks a little bit. So I interviewed with a bunch of banks, got a number of job offers by the end of the week, and joined Goldman Sachs in October 1998.
Note that this framework applies for all businesses, from the smallest, privately owned businesses, where debt takes the form of bank loans and even credit card borrowing and equity is owner savings, the largest publicly traded companies, where debt can be in the form of corporate bonds and equity is shares held by public market investors.
His latest book could not be more timely, “The Price of Time: The Real Story of Interest,” it’s all about the history of interest rates, money lending, investing speculation, funded by banks and loans and credit. And Jeremy said, “Well, at least there’s enough structural redundancy in the banking system.”
That said, I have tried other country risk scoring services (the Economist, The World Bank) and I find myself disagreeing with individual country scoring there as well. For instance, I find it incomprehensible that Libya and the United States share roughly the same PRS score, and that Saudi Arabia is safer than much of Europe.
The cost of debt is lower than the cost of equity : If you review my sixth data update on hurdlerates , and go through my cost of capital calculation, there is one inescapable conclusion. Data Update 4 for 2025: Interest Rates, Inflation and Central Banks! Data Update 5 for 2025: It's a small world, after all!
The transcript from this week’s, MiB: Savita Subramanian, US Equity & Quantitative Strategy, Bank of America , is below. They got bought by Bank America. And I think you will also, with no further ado, my discussion with Bank of America’s Savita. What can I say? Savita Sub Romanian, formerly of Merrill Lynch.
So it’s gonna take a little more confidence, you know, and equities to, because you get your, your hurdlerates higher, you know? And there, people were warning that that was about to happen in the spring when Silicon Valley Bank, right. So that 00:48:50 [Speaker Changed] Makes sense.
This was the era, 2005, 2006, all of my friends were looking to get banking roles. And so we, we get this contract written and I go off to grad school assuming I would go work at a big bank doing sales and trading in some quant role. A lot of them went to big banks. It was done with total return swaps with banks.
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