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A key tool in both endeavors is a hurdlerate a rate of return that you determine as your required return for business and investment decisions. It deepens the acquaintance because you encounter hurdlerates in almost every aspect of finance, and it ruins it, by making these hurdlerates all about equations and models.
As the risk-free rate rises, expected returns on equities will be pushed up, and holding all else constant, stock prices will go down., and the reverse will occur, when risk-free rates drop. Determinants So, why do risk-free rates vary across time and across currencies?
The second is that there are great (and free) sources for macro economic data, ranging from the Federal Reserve (FRED) to the World Bank and I don’t see the point of replicating something that they already do well. Data Update 4 for 2021: The HurdleRate Question. Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!
My suggestion is that for countries where recent political or economic events would lead you to believe that sovereign rating is dated, you should switch to using sovereign CDS spreads. The disadvantage is that they are focused on just default risk, and do not explicitly factor in the other risks that we enumerated in the last section.
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