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Nvidia market share: In my valuation, I assumed that Nvidia's lead in the AI chip business would give the company a head start, as the business grew, and to the extent that demand is sticky (i.e., The AI Story, after DeepSeek I teach valuation, and have done so for close to forty years.
Rising interest rates can hit their valuation. That means TIPS can be a cash drain, unless they’re held in a tax-free account like an individual retirement account or 401(k). And those results don’t account for changes in the securities’ market price. What investment strategies are you using in the face of rising prices?
I’d say management consulting is any of the other thing that least at that time was the other career trajectory, just my personality, more of a math oriented introvert. You really like the long time where you have to hold to make up that valuation whole is so long that you just really shouldn’t be involved. In 2000, right.
But there’s always gotta be some element of the valuation really being compelling. But even in the book I wrote in 2014, you could see that the focus on competitive advantage can never be absolute, you always have to take valuation into consideration. But maybe second to valuation as a primary consideration.
00:11:16 When Paul met me, I was modeling companies like Priceline in my spare time and investing out of my, you know, probably Fidelity account at the time. It was about $170 million valuation. But the problem with it is, 70% of the people in this country will never have a savings or investment account. So think about this, 3.7
And I did the math, and I think at that point in time, roughly speaking, assets in ETS were roughly just 10 percent, 12 percent of assets in mutual funds and I was pretty convinced that that number was to increase significantly. I remember telling myself, why would anyone invest in mutual funds when you can buy an ETF instead?
RITHOLTZ: So hold the duration risk aside with those two, but just for an investor in treasuries, I know you’ve done the math before. If you’re giving up that 1% big fat yield in 2019, 2021, let’s say you give up three years of 1% and get zero, how does the math work over the subsequent couple of years?
And I did a lot of options math, which I thought was interesting. And ultimately we’re looking for the 60 stocks that we think have the best upside potential take into account liquidity and other parameters of risk. That is not being reflected in valuations from a top down standpoint. So that’s a big pool Yeah.
00:03:14 [Mike Greene] So that was actually an outgrowth from my experience coming out of Wharton and you mentioned the, the, you know, the transition of people who tended to be skilled at math or physics into finance. We built a company that was focused on valuation, initially, actually targeting corporate strategic planning departments.
You do the math and you’re like, “Okay, well, an advisor can handle about 100 clients, an associate advisor can help with some of those clients, you can leverage maybe an associate advisor with a couple of advisors, but there’s a capacity limit for each of the roles.” And so, we pivoted to more of a service team.
And my dad had always said, as many young kids get this advice, doctor, lawyer, accountant, engineer. SALISBURY: And accountant seemed like a reasonable option. And I kind of stumbled my way into accounting. That background of being an accountant was just great bedrock training. RITHOLTZ: Sure. Very different fields.
And the ETF, the ETF wrapper, allowed people to get that exposure inexpensively, holding it in a brokerage account. DAVIS: Where international equities, because of valuations, probably 7% to 7.5%. RITHOLTZ: So let’s talk about that, because that gap in valuation has persisted for a long time. DAVIS: It’s free money.
But the numbers you can’t argue with, I mean, we all know that the brutal math of investing before costs investors collectively will earn the market return after costs. You just needed a brokerage account. I got a, a new will, powers of attorney, I closed accounts so that there, there are fewer accounts for my family.
Now if we only knew the denominator and could do the math to see what those numbers really look like. They manage their downside by having access to SMB performance, given their relationship with them on a number of levels, and debit repayments directly from their bank accounts and at terms that range from 30 to 90 days.
In 2021, elevated equity valuations and relatively low bond yields led the researchers to suggest 3.3% And while Buffett was naturally gifted in math, he was initially scared of public speaking. He also dug deep into a particular area of business—insurance—to try to gain an information edge on other investors.
So the fact that I had a sociology degree really didn’t impede, I think getting into business Barry Ritholtz : And you end up in like what some would think of as kind of a dry, legalistic part of Fidelity, the ERISA Division, which focuses on retirement accounts. That, that gives Barstool a half a billion dollar valuation.
So I, I did a math degree at Oxford, which is more pure math. You know, pure math can be very theoretical and detached from the real world, and it’s getting worse. It’s just math stick to it over long periods of time. Then the volatility and, and the valuation makes an enormous difference.
I’m good at math and science and you know, I always had an idea what go into business, but I felt that electrical engineering would be a good foundation. You know, I, it always, I I see different numbers all the time, so it’s always kinda like, who’s math if you will? 00:02:16 [Speaker Changed] Me too.
Joel Tillinghast : Well, okay, G, when he was six, my grandfather, who was a bookkeeper accountant at a textile mill died and my grandmother was a second string violin at the Providence Symphony Orchestra, which didn’t pay well then, and I suspect didn’t pay well now. And I was a math nerd as a kid. Tell us about that.
Now, we’re shifting to more international places like China, Europe, et cetera, that are really growing, and that valuations are cheaper. Russia and Ukraine account for 12 percent of the calories in the world. How are we doing in literacy versus math versus science? Think about the incredible growth of U.S. Where are we?
And we’ve automated the, the appraisal process for valuation, both intrinsic value, meaning like, where would we pay it, where would we buy it, and where is the fair market price that asset from that level, from price and from consumer behavior now. We’ve gathered up all the information you would need to do an appraisal.
I’m kind of in intrigued by the idea of philosophy and math. So I found myself getting kind of bored with my math problem sets, and then I could shift to philosophy and then go back and forth. And one of the worst performing factors has been valuation. And I think that’s wrong because valuation does matter.
So now we’re everywhere and we’re serving every type of wealth client internationally, domestic self-directed through a brokerage account all the way through complete discretionary. Can we give every single one of your employees a account or advice, you know, to their first, you know, purchase in a 5 29 account?
But plenty of valuation measures, it has no applicability for price-to-sales. So I definitely think you want to account for that in places like price-to-book in earnings. ASNESS: Well, first of all, I’m going to somewhat disappoint you saying we do not take very big bets on views like timing asset classes based on valuation.
00:24:49 [Speaker Changed] So let’s talk a little bit about valuation in the public markets. Does that valuation difference in the public markets extend to private markets as well? Does that valuation difference in the public markets extend to private markets as well? Hence the valuation gap.
And I, and I really like the application of math and statistics and computer science to markets. You learn the math that can help you with, with market making operations. It’s just not smart on a math basis to do that. That is their savings account, particularly when cash is returning nothing.
Literally the first check-in to Robinhood, which went public in 2021 at about a $34 billion valuation. RITHOLTZ: That’s called single entry accounting. There was not much accounting to do except how many months we have left before we have to call Fred for more money. Is it about the valuation? LINDZON: Correct.
Jeffrey Sherman : Well, what it was was, so I, as I said, with applications, there’s many applications of math, and the usually obvious one is physics. Barry Ritholtz : It seems that some people are math people and some people are not. The, the math came easier. And I really hated physics, really. It’s so true.
RITHOLTZ: So here’s the question about 2020 and we could talk a little bit about the pandemic, when you have an event from outside the market, sort of feels less like the dot-coms and the valuation issue, and more like the meteor that killed the dinosaurs, it’s totally outside of the system. SIEGEL: Right. RITHOLTZ: Right.
economy has been growing consistently for 2 years, even after accounting for inflation. She leads the company’s 50-person team of engineers, attorneys, and analysts, and is a member of the firm’s valuation & investment committees and board of directors. economy are often at odds with reality. In reality, the U.S.
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