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Not surprisingly, the company listings are across the world, and I look at the breakdown of companies, by number and market cap, by geography: As you can see, the market cap of US companies at the start of 2025 accounted for roughly 49% of the market cap of global stocks, up from 44% at the start of 2024 and 42% at the start of 2023.
In this post, I will focus on how companies around the world, and in different sectors, performed on their end game of delivering profits, by first focusing on profitability differences across businesses, then converting profitability into returns, and comparing these returns to the hurdlerates that I talked about in my last data update post.
The question of whether a company is making or losing money should be a simple one to answer, especially in an age where accounting statements are governed by a myriad of rules, and a legion of number-crunchers follow these rules to report profits generated by a firm.
Measuring Profitability The question of whether a company is making or losing money should be a simple one to answer, especially in an age where accounting statements are governed by a myriad of rules, and a legion of number-crunchers follow these rules to report profits generated by a firm.
MUFG says that clients who implement a dynamic discounting offering enjoy a typical average annualized yield of between 10% and 12% APR, significantly outperforming most internal investment hurdlerates or returns on short-term cash. The platform also provides multichannel access, including Swift and host-to-host.
Breaking down global companies by region gives us a measure of variation on cash return across the world, both in magnitude and in the type of cash return: It should come as no surprise that the United States accounted for a large segment (more than $1.5 Data Update 4 for 2025: Interest Rates, Inflation and Central Banks!
Setting the Stage The notion of a business life cycle is neither new nor original, since versions of it have floated around in management circles for decades, but its applications in finance have been spotty, with some attempts to tie where a company is in the life cycle to its corporate governance and others to accounting ratios.
Accounting Returns While profit margins tell a part of the profitability story, a high margin, by itself, may be insufficient to make a judgment on whether a business is a good one, i.e,, a business that consistently generates returns that exceed the cost of funding it.
” look at the Monte Carlo simulations, look at what is the hurdlerate. But we want it on the calendar so that we keep clients and ourselves accountable so that we make sure that those meetings actually do happen. But really the main driver in that first meeting is, “Hey, we’ve got to update the financial plan.
And my dad had always said, as many young kids get this advice, doctor, lawyer, accountant, engineer. SALISBURY: And accountant seemed like a reasonable option. And I kind of stumbled my way into accounting. That background of being an accountant was just great bedrock training. RITHOLTZ: Sure. Very different fields.
What is a hurdlerate for a business? In this post, I will start by looking at the role that hurdlerates play in running a business, with the consequences of setting them too high or too low, and then look at the fundamentals that should cause hurdlerates to vary across companies. What is a hurdlerate?
I also offer online classes in basic finance (present value, risk models and measures) and accounting (or at least my version of it) as background to my main classes. Discount rates in intrinsic valaution have to change to reflect current market conditions, and can be expected to change over time.
The failures of the signal have been variously attributed to low interest rates, accounting mis-measurement of earnings (especially at tech companies), and by some, to animal spirits. Data Update 4 for 2021: The HurdleRate Question. Data Update 2 for 2021: The Price of Risk!
BUCKLEY: They were all institutional separate accounts. That means a low hurdlerate. And then, lastly, the possibility of putting private equity in retirement accounts, he would be furious, I would imagine. And we gave back $125 billion in assets, which most people think is crazy. RITHOLTZ: Billion with a B.
In my last three posts, I looked at the macro (equity risk premiums, default spreads, risk free rates) and micro (company risk measures) that feed into the expected returns we demand on investments, and argued that these expected returns become hurdlerates for businesses, in the form of costs of equity and capital.
The dividend principle, which is the focus of this post is built on a very simple principle, which is that if a company is unable to find investments that make returns that meet its hurdlerate thresholds, it should return cash back to the owners in that business.
Thus, market capitalization, interest rates and risk premiums, the data is as of that date. For accounting flow items , in income statements and statements of cash flows, such as revenues, earnings and expenses, I used the data in the most recent twelve months of reporting ; for most firms, that data is from October 2021 to September 2022.
Financing Flows Accounting Returns Dividends & Ownership Risk Premiums 1. Bond Default Spreads Growth RatesAccounting Clean up Tax Rates 1. Historical Growth Rate in Revenue/Earnings 1. Marginal tax rates, by country 2. Sustainable Growth Rate in Net Income & Operating Income 2.
While the universe of companies is diverse, with approximately half of all firms from emerging markets, it is more concentrated in market capitalization, with the US accounting for 40% of global market capitalization at the start of the year. If there is a hole in my sample, it is the absence of privately owned businesses.
Furthermore, do they optimize they debt ratios to deliver the lowest hurdlerates. Book versus Market : The book debt ratio is built around using the accounting measure of equity, usually shareholder's equity, as the value of equity. Do companies optimize financing mix?
In a way, it’s more explicit in a capitalist economy because you’re paying a certain rate of interest on your loan, or you have a certain required hurdlerate on your investment, or you’re applying a certain discount in the valuation of an asset.
I also have quirks in how I compute widely used statistics like accounting returns on capital or debt ratios, and I will stay with those quirks, no matter what the accounting rule writers say. will reflect the most recent quarterly accounting filing. Insider, CEO & Institutional holdings 2. Aggregate operating numbers 3.
In particular, there are wide variations in how risk is measured, and once measured, across companies and countries, and those variations can lead to differences in expected returns and hurdlerates, central to both corporate finance and investing judgments. What's coming?
There are many who trust accountants to do this for them, using whatever is listed as debt on the balance sheet as debt, but that can be a mistake, since accounting has been guilty of mis-categorizing and missing key parts of debt. Data Update 4 for 2025: Interest Rates, Inflation and Central Banks!
To estimate the equity risk premium, for most countries I start with default spreads, either based on the sovereign ratings assigned by the ratings agencies, or from the market, in the form of sovereign CDS spreads. in my July 2023 update) and apply this scalar to the default spread, to arrive at a country risk premium.
Unfortunately, nobody has the luxury of picking stocks for a 10 year period anymore, except for in, you know, our personal accounts. But now we’re back to a more normal hurdlerate. 5% interest rates is not super high. But I feel like there aren’t any value investors left out there. 00:50:03 Not anymore.
So you’ve got, you’ve got a modeling hurdlerate that you need to figure out when you’re adding diversifiers. That is their savings account, particularly when cash is returning nothing. They’ve already given the account away to somebody else. And it took three months to get the account back.
Accounting was very difficult. It’s about a 50% fail rate, something like that. So it’s gonna take a little more confidence, you know, and equities to, because you get your, your hurdlerates higher, you know? And I remember that first level was tough. I had no finance background. Maybe even more.
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